GBP/USD Price Declining after Encouraging UK Inflation Data Release

After yesterday's disappointing US inflation data, market participants were wary of UK inflation data. But they turned out to be more favorable.

→ Core CPI: actual = 5.1%, expected = 5.2%, past values = 5.1%
→ CPI: actual = 4.0%, expected = 4.1%, past values = 4.0%

Although in absolute comparison the inflation rate in the UK is significantly higher than in the USA, it is encouraging that over the month it shows a downward trend.

This eases pressure on the Bank of England in its tight monetary policy, and therefore the British pound fell in value against other currencies. In particular, the decline against the USD that began yesterday continued. Since yesterday's high, the price of GBP/USD has already decreased by approximately 1%.

The GBP/USD chart shows that:
→ the bears have broken the upward trajectory indicated by the blue lines;
→ the price develops within the descending channel (shown in red);
→ the price dropped below the level of 1.25730, which served as support since February 8.

If the trend continues, the GBP/USD price could drop to the lower boundary of the red channel, thereby setting the 2024 low.

The following can add confidence to bears:
→ a long upper shadow was formed on yesterday’s candle (at the same time a test of the blue line occurred, as shown by the arrow);
→ based on the technical analysis of GBP/USD, it is acceptable to assume that the median line of the red channel will act as resistance.

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