Market Analysis: Bitcoin Updates Its Maximum for the Year

The cryptocurrency market showed a correlation with the stock market, gaining bullish momentum amid softening rhetoric from the Federal Reserve.

The price of the main cryptocurrency reached USD 35,900 for the first time in 18 months.

Wherein:
→ the positivity is also due to expectations that the US Securities and Exchange Commission will approve a Bitcoin ETF. According to analysts at Bernstein (an asset management firm), this could happen by the first quarter of 2024.
→ according to the same analysts, the price of Bitcoin could reach USD 150k by 2025;
→ Jurrien Timmer, director of global macroeconomics at Fidelity, called bitcoin a commodity currency or exponential gold that aims to be a store of value and a hedge against monetary depreciation.

Are the bullish sentiments that strong?

The chart provides information to help maintain an unbiased view of the market:

→ the price of BTC/USD is slightly above the upper border of the ascending channel. And this is a sign of overbought;
→ the price dynamics of BTC/USD forms a divergence with the RSI indicator, which is also in the overbought zone — which ultimately indicates the market’s vulnerability to a rollback;
→ the price is above the psychological level of 35,000 – and an analysis of the past behavior of the bitcoin price relative to round levels shows that false punctures are a common practice;
→ BTC/USD price has moved out of the consolidation zone (shown by the green triangle), but a breakout of the consolidation zone could be followed by a ton of buyers — and it is possible that they will find themselves locked in losses if a pullback does occur. A price return to the green triangle area will motivate them to close positions, thereby exerting even more selling pressure.

While ETF approval seems imminent and could attract significant capital to the bitcoin market over the long term, technically, the BTC/USD price could pull back from overbought territory.