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According to Reuters sources, Nvidia has informed Chinese clients of plans to begin shipments of its H200 chips by mid-February 2026. This has been made possible by a recent change in US export policy, which allows the sale of advanced technologies provided a special 25% duty is paid.
NVDA shares reacted positively to the news, as the ability to legally sell high-performance chips — which are roughly six times more powerful than the previously approved, cut-down H20 versions — to major players such as Alibaba and ByteDance could significantly boost Nvidia’s revenues.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA)
In November, we identified an ascending price channel, which remains intact.
Today, the NVDA chart shows clear signs of demand dominance:
→ the price reversed higher (as indicated by the arrow) before reaching the lower boundary of the channel, with the $170 level acting as support;
→ bullish gaps were formed at the open of the last two sessions.
Particular attention should be paid to the candle of 19 December:
→ trading volumes were exceptionally high;
→ the candle body was wide, with the session opening at the low and closing at the high.
If the decline from the all-time high is viewed as a corrective “bull flag” pattern (marked in red), it is notable that the price is now testing the upper boundary of that flag. In this context, it is reasonable to assume that if buying pressure remains strong, the price could break out of the correction and move towards the median of the long-term uptrend that has been in place throughout 2025.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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