UK100 Share Index Rises as UK Inflation Slows

Yesterday, the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the CPI stood at 3.2% in March. According to ForexFactory, analysts expected 3.1%, and a month ago the index was 3.4%.

Grant Fitzner, chief economist at the ONS, said: “Once again, food prices were the main reason for the fall, with prices rising by less than we saw a year ago. Similarly to last month, we saw a partial offset from rising fuel prices.”

Thus, actual inflation in the UK fell to its lowest level in two and a half years. According to Yahoo Finance, this weakening of inflation could influence the Bank of England to start cutting interest rates from the current level of 5.25% in June.

In anticipation of an easing of monetary policy, the values of the UK stock index UK100 increased yesterday. Today it is above the 7,900 level.

Technical analysis of the UK100 chart today shows that:
→ the price forms an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ the rise in the price of UK100 from the current week’s low forms a rebound from the support block, which is formed by the lower border of this channel and the former resistance 7,800.

At the same time, the bearish arguments remain powerful:
→ pay attention to the sharp rate of decline in A→B;
→ the UK100 price has broken down the intermediate trend line (shown in black).

Will the market be able to resume the rally indicated by the blue channel? Important information about the seriousness of bullish sentiment in the UK stock market can be provided by the behavior of the UK100 price, namely its ability to rise above the median line of the channel and above the level of 50% of the decline (A→B).