Commodity Currencies Test New Lows Ahead of FOMC Minutes

FXOpen

A strong US labour market report, released last week, has contributed to the decline in European and commodity currencies. The USD/CAD pair managed to strengthen above 1.3600, the AUD/USD pair tested 0.6720 as support, and the NZD/USD pair dropped below the 0.6100 mark. The increase in average wages (0.4% vs. expected 0.3%) and the rise in new jobs (254K vs. a forecast of 147K) have reduced investors' confidence that the Federal Reserve will lower rates at its next meeting.

USD/CAD

Strong data from the US and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed USD/CAD out of the short-term flat corridor of 1.3600–1.3480. Technical analysis of USD/CAD indicates potential further growth if the upper boundary of the recently broken range becomes support. On the daily time frame, the previously formed "Piercing Line" pattern is in play. The nearest growth target is the 1.3750–1.3710 range. The bullish scenario would be invalidated if the price firmly settles below 1.3630–1.3600.

Key events impacting USD/CAD pricing today:

  • 15:00 (GMT+3): Speech by FOMC member Raphael Bostic.
  • 17:30 (GMT+3): US crude oil inventories report.
  • 21:00 (GMT+3): Release of the FOMC meeting minutes.

NZD/USD

Major central banks are gradually shifting from a hawkish stance to easing monetary policies. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand followed suit this morning by cutting its base interest rate by 0.50% – from 5.25% to 4.75%.

This decision has led to the continuation of the downward trend in NZD/USD, which has been observed since late September. According to technical analysis, the pair may continue its decline towards the 0.6640–0.6610 range. A bearish "Tower" pattern has formed on the daily time frame, and the price has settled below the important 0.6150–0.6100 range.

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

Latest articles

Shares

Tesla (TSLA) Shares Fall After ‘We, Robot’ Presentation

On 10 October, at the Warner Brothers studio in Burbank, California, Elon Musk unveiled three products during the presentation of “We, Robot”:

→ Cybercab – an autonomous robotaxi that Musk claims will be produced in very large quantities.

→ Robovan – an autonomous bus

Mastering the Harmonic Bat Pattern
Trader’s Tools
Trading Strategies

Mastering the Harmonic Bat Pattern

The harmonic bat pattern is a powerful tool for traders seeking to pinpoint market reversals with precision. Using Fibonacci ratios to map out key price movements, this pattern offers traders the chance to enter high-probability trades. In this article, we’

Commodities

Market Analysis: Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Target Additional Gains

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $2,618 resistance level. WTI Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $78.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today

· Gold price started

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.