Dollar Correction: Market Focus on US Inflation Data and Bank of Canada Meeting

FXOpen

The US dollar is trading with mixed dynamics. It is strengthening against commodity currencies, while suffering significant losses against the yen and European currencies. Today, US inflation data is expected, which could provide further clues on the future direction of major currency pairs.

USD/CAD

Investors and market participants have likely stopped paying attention to Donald Trump's threats of tariffs on Canadian goods. Initially, the tariffs were set to be introduced in February, then postponed to early March, and later to April. In response, the Canadian government announced counter-tariffs and a boycott of certain US goods. As a result of these conflicting developments, the USD/CAD pair remains within a medium-term trading range between 1.4500 and 1.4300.

Technical analysis of USD/CAD suggests a potential retest of the lower boundary at 1.4300, as a bearish "doji" pattern was formed yesterday.
If buyers manage to consolidate above 1.4500, the pair could continue its upward movement towards recent highs around 1.4730–1.4600.

Today's key events affecting USD/CAD pricing:

  • 16:30 (GMT+2) – US Crude Oil Inventories
  • 16:45 (GMT+2) – Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision
  • 17:30 (GMT+2) – Bank of Canada Press Conference

USD/JPY

The decline of the USD/JPY pair halted after a retest of the key support level at 146.50. Yesterday, buyers formed a "bullish engulfing" pattern on the daily timeframe and tested the strategic level of 148.00. If this pattern plays out and the price consolidates above 148.00, a corrective rise towards 150.00–149.00 could follow.

A break below the 146.00 support level may trigger a renewed downtrend towards last year's September lows at 144.80–143.50.

Today's key events affecting USD/JPY pricing:

  • 15:30 (GMT+2) – US Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  • 20:00 (GMT+2) – US 10-Year Treasury Note Auction
  • 21:00 (GMT+2) – US Federal Budget Report

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Access over 50 markets
  • Trade with spreads from 0.0 pips
  • Take advantage of commissions from $1.50/lot
Learn more

Latest articles

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin Breaks Key Support Level

In our 21 January note, titled Bitcoin Falls Below $90k: Why Does It Matter?, we confirmed the relevance of a system of two trend channels and highlighted that the price was sitting at the lower boundary of a long-term ascending

Shares

Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Post a Record Decline

On Wednesday, after the close of the regular trading session, Microsoft (MSFT) released its quarterly earnings report, which exceeded analysts’ expectations:

→ Earnings per share: actual $4.14, forecast $3.90;
→ Gross revenue: actual $81.2bn, forecast $80.3bn;
→ Operating profit:

5 Scalping Crypto Strategies for Active Traders in 2026
Trader’s Tools

5 Scalping Crypto Strategies for Active Traders in 2026

Scalping attracts participants who want to engage with rapid price changes rather than multi-day trends. Scalping trading in cryptocurrencies

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.