US Dollar Consolidates Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls: Possible Scenarios
FXOpen
In anticipation of the release of one of the most important reports, the NonFarm Payrolls, the US currency has suffered losses across almost all fronts. Earlier this week, the EUR/USD currency pair tested and settled above 1.0800, GBP/USD traded above 1.2700, and USD/CAD fell back to 1.3610.
Today, we might see either continued corrective pullbacks or a resumption of medium-term trends if the employment data deviates from expectations. So, what should we expect?
- Experts forecast a decline in average earnings to 0.3% (if the figure comes in at last month's level or higher, it could strengthen the US currency).
- The number of new jobs in June is expected to be 194K (if the figure is significantly higher or lower than the forecast, it could cause volatility in major currency pairs).
USD/CAD
Dollar buyers in the USD/CAD pair failed to overcome resistance at 1.3750. A rebound from this level led to the formation of a "bearish engulfing" pattern on the daily timeframe. According to the technical analysis of USD/CAD, the price has approached the lower boundary of the medium-term flat corridor at 1.3610. If the price consolidates below this level in the coming trading sessions, the downward movement could continue towards 1.3520-1.3480. A rebound from 1.3610 could lead to a retest of 1.3700-1.3660.
Read analytical USD/CAD price forecasts for 2024 and beyond.
EUR/USD
Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests the potential for continued growth towards 1.0900, as the price has exited the medium-term flat corridor of 1.0760-1.0650. A break in the upward impulse is possible if the price returns to the specified corridor and consolidates below 1.0760. Besides the publication of US employment data, the following events are worth noting today:
- At 10:00 (GMT +3:00) a speech by the President of the German Bundesbank, Nagel.
- At 12:00 (GMT +3:00) the release of retail sales volumes in the Eurozone for May.
Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Stay ahead of the market!
Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.
Latest articles
US Dollar Strengthens Amid Equity Market Weakness and Hawkish Fed Rhetoric
The US dollar continues to hold firm near multi-year highs as sentiment across equity markets deteriorates and investors increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to maintain a restrictive monetary policy stance for longer. The US economy remains resilient, while inflation risks
Bitcoin: Corrective Channel Broken as Traders Turn More Active
Bitcoin has come under the influence of several factors simultaneously. The wave of selling at the beginning of June was linked to Strategy's first disclosed Bitcoin sale in several years, a prolonged series of outflows from spot ETFs, and a
DAX 40: consolidation amid technology sell-off
A wave of selling in the technology sector that emerged earlier this week has weighed on European equities. The trigger was investor concern over the profitability of large-scale debt-funded investments by major US tech companies in AI infrastructure. The Nasdaq