To hike or not to hike? That is the Fed’s question

FXOpen

Today, futures contracts which are related to North American stocks have taken a bit of a downturn in projected value as today is another day in which the United States Federal Reserve Bank – known as The Fed – is set to announce its position on interest rate adjustments.

In advance of the opening session in New York today, futures contracts which related to stocks listed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 29 points which equates to a 0.1% drop, S&P 500 futures were down 0.1%, while Nasdaq-100 futures dipped 0.2%.

The Federal Reserve Bank has been holding a policy meeting which has taken place over the past two days, with the final day being today and investors and traders are awaiting the outcome, which may reveal a further increase in the base rate of interest across the United States.

Speculators and analysts have been looking at the possibility of the Federal Reserve implementing a 25 base point increase in the base rate of interest, as well as a possibility of tightening of monetary policy especially given the recent contagion across the United States banking sector in the aftermath of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

During the past few days, smaller regional banks have been affected and now First Republic is teetering on the brink of collapse resulting in a 61% drop in share price last week and a bank run which meant that many investors withdrew their money, subsequently depositing it with larger Tier 1 banks.

Rather incredibly, a batch of larger banks this week took their customers funds to the tune of $30 billion and deposited it in First Republic to prop it up.

As a result of this turn of events, confidence in the US banking sector is very low once again, and futures contracts on major indices are showing the bearish approach many investors are taking at a time when banks are struggling, and interest rates may rise again.

Fascinatingly, these stocks, usually traded by conservative investors due to their relative stability and long-standing presence on major exchanges are down, and the overall sentiment within the banking and US monetary situation is cautious to say the least, yet a meme stock that was responsible for the infamous market short in January 2021 is soaring.

GameStop, the entertainment firm which appeared in high profile news reports two years ago because of the reddit group WallStreetBets effectively ‘market making’ on social media and shorting the stock, causing a black swan event, is on the up.

The company, listed on the NASDAQ exchange, reported a 22.4% growth in margins and as a result, its stock soared by 43%.

It is an interesting day, when the banks, some of which are hundreds of years old, are causing more fear than a meme stock!

Buy and sell stocks of the world's biggest publicly-listed companies with CFDs on FXOpen’s trading platform. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading share CFDs with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Share CFD Trading with FXOpen

Share CFD Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Trade with tight spreads
  • Take advantage of low commissions
  • Choose from 4 trading platforms: MT4, MT5, TradingView, or TickTrader
Learn more

Latest articles

Shares

Tesla (TSLA) Stock Underperforms the Broader Market

Analysing Tesla (TSLA) stock chart on 12th December, we:

→ Identified an ascending channel, with the November price consolidation around $350 (marked by a thick blue line) potentially indicating the median line of the long-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue).

→ Mentioned

Commodities

XAU/USD Chart Analysis and Analytical Gold Price Forecast for 2025

With the holiday season underway, this week may be less volatile than the previous one, which was dominated by central bank decisions. This presents an opportunity to analyse the broader trends and outlook for gold prices in 2025.

The XAU/

Commodities

Market Analysis: Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Face Hurdles

Gold price started a fresh decline below $2,665. Crude oil prices are now struggling to clear the $70.00 and $70.50 resistance levels.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

  • Gold price climbed higher toward the
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.