Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Start Recovery, Key Hurdles Ahead

FXOpen

AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from 0.6415. NZD/USD is also rising and could aim for a move above 0.5900 in the short term.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

  • The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6415 and moved higher against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6440 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
  • NZD/USD is slowly moving higher above 0.5830.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5870 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.6415. The Aussie Dollar started a significant increase above 0.6425 against the US Dollar to enter a short-term positive zone.

There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6440 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6568 swing high to the 0.6415 low. The pair even surpassed 0.6470 and settled above the 50-hour simple moving average.

On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level at 0.6490. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 0.6520.

An upside break above 0.6520 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major target is near the 0.6540 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6565. If there is no close above 0.6490, the pair might start a fresh decline.

Immediate support sits near the 0.6470 level. The next area of interest could be 0.6440. If there is a downside break below 0.6440 support, the pair could extend its decline toward 0.6410. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6350.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen, the pair followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.5800 level and started a recovery wave against the US Dollar.

The pair climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.5830. There was a close above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5990 swing high to the 0.5830 low.

However, the bears are now active near the 0.5870 zone and a major bearish trend line. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is back above 60, signaling a positive bias. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near 0.5870.

The next major hurdle for buyers could be near the 50% Fib retracement at 0.5895. A clear move above 0.5895 might even push the pair toward 0.5910. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5945 pivot zone in the coming sessions.

On the downside, there is support forming near the 0.5830 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5830, the pair might slide toward 0.5800. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD into a bearish zone to 0.5740.

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Access over 50 markets
  • Trade with spreads from 0.0 pips
  • Take advantage of commissions from $1.50/lot
Learn more

Latest articles

Forex Analysis

EUR/USD and GBP/USD consolidate ahead of the Fed decision

European currencies are showing subdued dynamics, entering a consolidation phase following their previous advance. Earlier, EUR/USD and GBP/USD broke out of their ranges and strengthened; however, the subsequent correction has led both pairs to retest the previously breached

Shares

Meta: V-Shaped Recovery Meets Heavy Volume Resistance

The movement in Meta Platforms shares is being driven by two competing narratives. On one hand, advertising revenue is benefiting from AI-based tools: the Advantage+ platform continues to support strong advertiser demand, and the analyst consensus for Q1 2026 revenue

Forex Analysis

Commodity Currencies Test Key Levels Ahead of Major Macro Data

Commodity-linked currencies are trading near key levels, showing restrained price action as market participants adopt a wait-and-see approach. The fundamental backdrop is shaped by expectations surrounding the release of Australia’s inflation data and the Bank of Canada’s interest

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.