Economic calendar: NASDAQ 100 May Keep Falling, High Volatility in Oil Markets, Potential Appreciation of the US Dollar

FXOpen

The US, Japan and the UK may have kept interest rates on hold last week, but with the Federal Reserve indicating that rates will stay higher for longer, there is turmoil in the equity markets. The NASDAQ 100 fell 500 points last week, and with weakness continuing into this morning's trading session, the volatility looks like it will continue throughout the week.

US durable goods orders (15:30 Wednesday) is the first meaningful economic release of the week. After a terrible -5.2% in July, analysts are expecting a modest decline of -0.4% for August. The final reading of US Q2 GDP is expected to show an increase to 2.2% when it is released on Thursday (15:30), as the US economy continues to tick over at a steady rate. This could give the US dollar a further boost.

Friday brings two key inflation readings. Firstly, from the Euro Area (12:00) where the ECB will be hoping the analysts have got it right with their predictions of a further drop to 4.5%. At 15:30, the Core PCE Price Index (which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation) is released. A 0.2% increase is expected for August, but anything above this could ramp up the rhetoric about more Fed hikes in the coming months and further appreciation of the US dollar.

The oil markets continue to provide a fascinating mix of politics and market forces. Russia and Saudi continue with their supply restrictions whilst the biggest buyer, China, struggles with a stalling economy. Throw in the US trying to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and the bulls are currently in the ascendancy, with WTI hitting $92 and Brent $95 before profit taking took the edge off the price. The medium-term trend is still positive, but with so many factors at play, the only guarantee is further volatility.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Access over 50 markets
  • Trade with spreads from 0.0 pips
  • Take advantage of commissions from $1.50/lot
Learn more

Latest articles

Cryptocurrencies

Why the CPI Release Matters for the Price of Bitcoin

The previous Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was published on 13 January and had a significant impact on Bitcoin’s price. As the BTC/USD chart shows:

→ shortly after the release, the price surged aggressively to the 14 January peak;

Indices

Nasdaq 100 May Retest This Year’s Low

As the chart of the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) shows, bearish sentiment currently dominates the equity market. Yesterday, the technology index fell by around 2%.

Why Is the Nasdaq 100 Declining?

According to media reports,

Forex Analysis

Euro And Sterling Rally Slows After Strong US Data

At the start of the week, the euro and sterling posted solid gains amid dollar weakness and expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy path, testing local highs. However, the release of the January US employment report shifted market

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.