Gold Regains $1,800 On Inflation Fears. What’s Next?

FXOpen

Gold has spent the year consolidating. But, curiously enough for market participants, all this time, inflation has been on the rise in the advanced economies all this time.

Most recently, inflation reached levels not seen in decades, running hot in the United States and Europe, two regions where central banks have a hard time generating inflation according to their price stability mandate. But despite the ongoing rise in the prices of goods and services, gold, a traditional hedge against inflation, is powerless. Just the opposite, one may say: it has traded with a bearish tone all year. However, it found important support in the $1,680 area where buyers stepped in.

Last month, gold gained +1.5%, but still ended October down by a little over -6%. Gold equities rallied last month, up by more than +7%, and yet, for the year, they are down close to -12%.

One explanation for gold-related equities and gold’s poor performance is the US dollar index. By the end of October, the dollar index was up by +4.65% on the year, putting pressure on the price of gold.

This is another oddity because the dollar gained while inflation rose, and typically things work the other way around. What will the rest of the trading year bring for gold?

Technical Picture Remains Bullish

From a technical analysis perspective, the price of gold remains bullish. Two pivotal areas should be mentioned here.

On the one hand, in 2021, the price found strong support at the $1,680 level and has since bounced three times from. On the other hand, the $1,960 is a pivotal area on any move higher. While in between, the price of gold continues to consolidate.

However, judging by the triangular consolidation that just ended, the recent move higher above the upper edge of the triangle indicates more strength ahead. On a daily close above $1,850, traders will push for another run to $1,900.

One thing is clear. If inflation does not cool down in the months ahead, gold will have a hard time remaining at the current level. As such, traders should focus on the bigger picture and adjust their positions accordingly.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Latest from Financial Market News

US Government Shutdown: Assessing Economic Impact and Recession Risks Inflation Still Dogs the Economy: What Are the Central Banks Doing About It? Economic calendar: NASDAQ 100 May Keep Falling, High Volatility in Oil Markets, Potential Appreciation of the US Dollar Financial Markets Waking Up after a Turbulent Week: Important News Economic Calendar: RBA, BOJ, BOE, and Fed Meetings

Latest articles

Financial Market News

US Government Shutdown: Assessing Economic Impact and Recession Risks

The recurring spectre of a government shutdown has once again loomed over the United States, prompting concerns about its potential economic consequences. The shutdown may occur this weekend unless lawmakers agree on spending levels and whether to give more aid

Indices

S&P 500 Analysis: Price Reaches The Edge of Abyss

Investors in the US stock market have serious reasons to worry: → The likelihood of a shutdown of government agencies is becoming more and more real. It could happen as early as next week if a budget agreement is not reached

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin Cash Analysis: Promising Resistance Breakout

Yesterday, the head of the SEC regulator, Gary Gensler, answered questions for 4 hours before the Financial Services Committee of the US House of Representatives, which, among other things, related to cryptocurrencies. What has become known: → on the eve of

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.