The first factor is the news that Warren Buffett is halving his position in AAPL shares. Whether this indicates that the legendary investor foresees the company losing its market leadership or a recession threat, Buffett's authority may create a psychological effect on retail investors and prompt them to sell their shares.

The second factor is the breach of the $200 psychological level. After the strong rise above $200 per share in June, it seemed the price had securely settled above this round number. However, it's not uncommon for breakout tests to occur, stop-loss orders to be triggered, and the supply-demand balance to shift, resulting in price growth. For example, yesterday's price action saw the bulls nearly close a 7% bearish gap.

Today's technical analysis of the AAPL stock chart shows that:

→ Opening at the lows and closing at the highs for the last two wide candles indicates demand activity.
→ Since May, the stock price has been moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue). Yesterday, the price closed near the median line, where it might stabilize.
→ If the bears attempt to resume pressure, pitchfan ray #4 may provide support. As the AAPL chart shows, the stock price found support in the previous three instances, visualized on the chart as days of upward trends with decreasing angle steepness.

Interestingly, CNN Money's Fear & Greed Index showed a further decline in overall market sentiment, moving into the "Extreme Fear" zone on Monday. Would Buffett now follow his famous 1986 advice: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful"?

According to a survey of 32 Wall Street analysts by TipRanks, 24 recommend buying Apple stock. Their average price forecast for AAPL is $248.96 over the next 12 months.

Read analytical AAPL price forecasts for 2024 and beyond.

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