GBP/USD Exchange Rate Tumbles

As today’s GBP/USD chart shows, the pound sterling fell by nearly 1% against the US dollar in just one hour, forming an exceptionally long bearish candle.

The sharp drop was driven by concerns over public finances and a broad sell-off in the bond market. According to Reuters, the yield on UK 30-year government bonds hit 5.69% – the highest level since May 1998 – highlighting the elevated risk premium.

Technical analysis of GBP/USD Price Chart

When analysing the pair’s movements in July, we questioned GBP/USD’s ability to sustain growth. Since then, the chart has developed a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a bearish A→B→C→D structure.

At the end of August, the pair consolidated between the Support and Resistance lines shown on the chart.

Factors reinforcing the bearish context and confirming earlier doubts include:
→ a failed bullish breakout attempt (marked with a red arrow);
→ Liquidity Grab patterns above previous highs (marked with black arrows).

What could happen next?

Today’s decline highlights a strong resistance zone formed by:
→ the breakout level of August’s support around 1.3462;
→ the upper boundary of the descending channel.

Bulls may find some support at the psychological 1.3400 level. However, if pressure increases (particularly if new bearish fundamental drivers emerge), GBP/USD could slide towards the median of the descending channel.

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