MSFT Stocks: Fundamental vs. Technical Analysis

FXOpen

This week 166 companies that make up 33% of the S&P 500 index will publish their reports for the second quarter. Among them, the second largest company in the index, Microsoft. And here, an interesting situation develops: the fundamental background is quite strong, and technical analysis shows signs of weakness. Judge for yourself.

Fundamental analysis:

  • the Android version of the sensational ChatGPT will be released this week;
  • Fundstrat analysts see a target price for MSFT shares of around USD 380 in the short term and USD 426 in the long term;
  • Barclays analysts have rated MSFT stock as a Buy with a target of USD 425 (previous MSFT share price target of USD 425) amid Microsoft 365 AI rollout.

However, let's evaluate the MSFT stock chart from the point of view of technical analysis. Note that after a sharp breakdown of the psychological level of USD 350 on July 18, 3 days of rollback followed, which completely leveled the progress of the bulls and lowered the stock price back below USD 350; Friday's low is below the low of July 18, which can be interpreted as a shortage of buyers after a bullish breakdown. The attack of the bulls did not attract followers. Thus, the market, by its behavior, casts doubt on the scenario of further growth, which can be imagined on the basis of a strong fundamental.

Fundamental or technical analysis? We will find out on Tuesday after the close of the main session, when the Microsoft report is released.

Buy and sell stocks of the world's biggest publicly-listed companies with CFDs on FXOpen’s trading platform. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading share CFDs with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Share CFD Trading with FXOpen

Share CFD Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Trade with tight spreads
  • Take advantage of low commissions
  • Choose from 4 trading platforms: MT4, MT5, TradingView, or TickTrader
Learn more

Latest articles

Commodities

WTI Oil Pulls Back from Its 2026 High

As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel:
→ set fresh 2026 highs above $67 earlier this week;
→ but yesterday posted a sharp reversal lower (as indicated by the blue arrow).

The spike in volatility was driven by

Indices

Australian Stock Index ASX 200 Reaches Record High

As the chart of the ASX 200 index (Australia 200 on FXOpen) shows, today’s candle has moved above the 9,210 level, marking a fresh all-time high. Since the start of the year, the benchmark of Australian equities has

Shares

Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Surpass $200 in After-Hours Trading Following Earnings Report

Yesterday, the world’s most valuable company, Nvidia, released its quarterly earnings, which exceeded expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.62 (forecast = $1.53);
→ Revenue: actual = $68.13 billion (forecast = $66.13 billion).

Sentiment was further supported by the chipmaker’

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.