According to the chart, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has climbed above the 26,260 mark for the first time in history. Market sentiment is being driven by an extraordinary combination of powerful news factors:

→ Meeting between US President Donald Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping in Busan, South Korea. The talks lasted around one hour and forty minutes. Xi emphasised the importance of “steering the giant ship” of bilateral relations, while Trump described the meeting as “tremendous” and “fantastic”. However, few concrete details about a potential trade deal were revealed.

→ Federal Reserve rate cut. As expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25% yesterday. Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone, using the metaphor of “driving through fog” to describe the lack of key inflation and labour market data due to the government shutdown. He also highlighted divisions within the committee, suggesting that another rate cut – possibly in December – remains uncertain.

→ Tech giant earnings reports. After the US stock market closed yesterday, Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (META) released their quarterly results. A key theme across all three was massive capital expenditure on artificial intelligence. Investors are now questioning whether these heavy investments are beginning to pay off.

Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 chart

At the start of the week, when analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we:

→ used the outlines of the 10 October sell-off to construct an upward channel (shown in blue);

→ drew a steeper trajectory using three orange trendlines;

→ suggested that the price target was the upper boundary of the blue channel.

That target has now been reached, and the upper boundary is showing signs of resistance — evidenced by the price slipping below the middle orange line and now being supported by the lower one.

Given the emerging RSI divergence, it is reasonable to assume that the upward momentum (+6% since the start of the month) may begin to slow. Note the recent bearish candlestick (marked by an arrow), notable for its strong move. Profit-taking could soon occur, with bears potentially attempting to push the Nasdaq 100 back down towards the median of the blue channel.

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