S&P 500 Index Drops to 2-Month Low
FXOpen
On Friday, the US unemployment data was released, as reported by ForexFactory:
→ The unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% to 4.1%;
→ The number of new jobs (Non-Farm Employment Change) increased by 256,000 over the month, although analysts had forecast an increase of 164,000 (previous value = 212,000).
According to Reuters, the strong labour market data strengthened the market participants' view that the Federal Reserve will be cautious in cutting interest rates in 2025.
Based on CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders expect the Fed to reduce borrowing costs for the first time in June and then keep it at that level for the remainder of the year.
Expectations that tight monetary policy will persist longer than usual have led to bearish sentiment. As a result, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) dropped below the 5,800 mark this morning, its lowest point since early November.
Technical analysis of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows:
→ A bearish Head and Shoulders (SHS) pattern is visible on the chart;
→ The price has broken below the median of the ascending channel (marked in blue).
The strengthening bearish sentiment may lead to:
→ The price fluctuating within the descending channel, the boundaries of which are already visible (marked in red);
→ The median of this red channel currently acting as support.
It is possible that the intensification of bearish sentiment will result in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) declining towards the 5,700 level, which may be reinforced by the proximity of the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Trade global index CFDs with zero commission and tight spreads (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading index CFDs with FXOpen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Stay ahead of the market!
Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.
Latest articles
Oil Markets: Why Could the Risk Premium Fade
Oil markets have recently reacted to geopolitical developments — but the more important signal may lie in how price action is evolving afterwards.
In this video, we look at why the risk premium in oil could begin to fade, despite ongoing
USD/JPY Builds Positioning Ahead of Signals from the Bank of Japan
USD/JPY dynamics continue to be driven by the persistent yield gap between US and Japanese government bonds. With the Federal Reserve maintaining a relatively hawkish stance and keeping rates elevated as of April 2026, the Bank of Japan remains
Australian Dollar Pulls Back from Highs on Weaker Data
The Australian dollar is undergoing a corrective decline after reaching recent highs, with the current move driven by market reaction to newly released macroeconomic data. Earlier gains in AUD were supported by improving global risk sentiment and steady demand for