USD/CHF Analysis: Rate Rises to Its Highest in Six Months

FXOpen

This happened against the backdrop of rising US bond yields. Reuters writes that it is in the region of a 16-year high. It is reasonable to assume that big capital was balancing its defensive portfolio by selling the franc, considered a safe haven, and buying dollars to invest in American bonds, which also have high-quality status.

On July 13, we wrote that the franc could rebound from the lower line of the channel (shown in red). This was supposed to be facilitated by hawkish rhetoric from Fed officials and, as a result, the strengthening of the dollar.

However, now the situation has reversed. The USD/CHF rate expanded the range of a larger downward channel and reached its upper limit. It even tried to break out of it on October 3 (but without noticeable success).

Will the bullish trend described by the rising channel (shown in blue) continue?

Signs of technical analysis provide grounds for doubt:
→ extremes A and B are similar to the double-top pattern. Moreover, the fact that the second peak is higher than the first can be interpreted as a bull trap;
→ the formation of divergence on indicators – as an indication of weakening demand for the dollar;
→ bearish activity may intensify as the listed signs are formed near the upper border of the red channel.

Thus, the likelihood of a decline to the lower border of the blue channel increases, and in the longer term, attempts at its bearish breakout.

Trade global forex with the Innovative Broker of 2022*. Choose from 50+ forex markets 24/5. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

* FXOpen International, Innovative Broker of 2022, according to the IAFT

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Latest from Forex Analysis

AUD/JPY Analysis: Rate Falls to Important Support EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Analysis: Dollar Stable Despite Weak Employment Data Will rate hikes end when 2023 ends? USD/JPY, USD/CAD, and EUR/USD Analysis: The US Dollar Corrected in Anticipation of PMI Data Release EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Analysis: US Dollar Weakens after Fed Chairman's Comments

Latest articles

Financial Market News

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: AUD/JPY, RATE HIKES, S&P 500, WTI Oil

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of  FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights. AUD/JPY: Rate Falls

Trader’s Tools

Fixed Exchange Rates: Benefits and Limitations

Fixed exchange rates, a cornerstone of international finance, play a pivotal role in shaping global commerce and investment landscapes. This article delves into their intricacies, exploring the historical evolution, practical understanding, and the balance of benefits and challenges they present.

Trader’s Tools

Alternative Investment Options

Traders and investors are increasingly turning to alternative investment options to diversify their portfolios and seek new avenues for potential returns. In this FXOpen article, we discuss alternative investments, examining the types and explaining the reasons why they are gaining

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.