European Currencies Testing Key Levels: Contributing Factors

FXOpen

In recent trading sessions, a significant amount of crucial macroeconomic data has been released from the US, Europe, and the UK:

  • Wednesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the UK (the figure came in higher than experts' forecast at 2.3% versus 2.1%)
  • Wednesday: Publication of the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting
  • Thursday: US Manufacturing PMI (the figure exceeded experts' forecast at 50.9 versus 50.0)

This rich mix of data contributed to the USD/JPY pair testing 157.00, EUR/USD sellers attempting to break key support at 1.0800, and the GBP/USD pair halting its recent strengthening and returning to 1.2700.

EUR/USD

Technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair indicates the development of a bearish “dark cloud cover” pattern on the daily timeframe, formed on May 16. If the pair's sellers manage to break the support at 1.0800, the downward movement of the pair could extend towards 1.0730-1.0710. A resumption of the upward movement can be expected once the price moves above 1.0900. Today, several macroeconomic indicators are due for release, which could either reinforce the current trend or lead to the formation of reversal patterns:

  • Today at 09:00 (GMT+3:00) Germany's Q1 GDP
  • Today at 13:00 (GMT+3:00) Eurogroup Meeting

GBP/USD

Buyers of the British currency have confidently held the price above the key level of 1.2700 over the past few weeks. The higher-than-expected CPI allowed the pair to strengthen to 1.2760, but pound buyers failed to develop a full-fledged upward trend, and yesterday the price fell back to 1.2700.

Technical analysis of the GBP/USD pair indicates the possibility of a downward movement, as a bearish “hammer” pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. If the 1.2700 mark turns into resistance, the pair could fall to 1.2560-1.2520. The downward scenario can be invalidated if the price rises above 1.2760. The following events could impact the pair's price formation:

  • Today at 09:00 (GMT+3:00) UK Core Retail Sales for April
  • Today at 15:30 (GMT+3:00) US Core Durable Goods Orders

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Access over 50 markets
  • Trade with spreads from 0.0 pips
  • Take advantage of commissions from $1.50/lot
Learn more

Latest articles

US Dollar Strengthens Following Trump’s Tariff Decision
Forex Analysis

US Dollar Strengthens Following Trump’s Tariff Decision

US President Donald Trump has announced his decision to impose new tariffs:
→ For Canada, tariffs are set at 35%. They are scheduled to take effect on 1 August, although negotiations may take place before this date, potentially influencing Trump’s

Coinbase (COIN) Shares Reach All-Time High
Shares

Coinbase (COIN) Shares Reach All-Time High

According to the chart of Coinbase Global (COIN), the share price of the cryptocurrency exchange has reached a historical all-time high (closing price).

The bullish sentiment has been supported by the following factors:
Bitcoin price rally. Yesterday, we analysed the

 Euro in Focus – Markets on Alert
Forex Analysis

Euro in Focus – Markets on Alert

The euro is holding firm after a notable rally in recent weeks. Both the EUR/USD and EUR/JPY currency pairs are showing signs of consolidation, as markets cautiously assess the outlook against the backdrop of a packed economic calendar.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.