Major Currency Pairs Consolidate Ahead of Key Economic Data Releases

The GBP/USD and USD/CAD currency pairs are showing sideways movement as markets await the release of critical macroeconomic statistics. Traders are taking a wait-and-see approach, assessing upcoming data from the US, UK, and Canada.

A significant amount of attention is focused on US data. Today, ADP employment figures are expected — analysts forecast a gain of 111K compared to 62K last month. A positive outlook is also expected for the ISM Services PMI at 52.3 versus April’s 50.8. Market sentiment in the upcoming sessions will remain sensitive to incoming data and statements from Federal Reserve officials, which could shape short-term trends for the US dollar.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair has stabilised in the 1.3500–1.3550 range at the start of the week. Technical analysis suggests a potential retest of May highs around 1.3600, as a number of bullish patterns have formed on the daily timeframe. A more serious downward correction may develop if the price confidently breaks below the 1.3420–1.3440 support zone.

Key events that may influence GBP/USD pricing in the coming days include:

• Today at 11:30 (GMT+3): UK Services PMI
• Today at 11:30 (GMT+3): UK Composite PMI
• Today at 15:15 (GMT+3): US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
• Tomorrow at 11:30 (GMT+3): UK Construction PMI
  
  

USD/CAD

The USD/CAD pair is consolidating near the 1.3700 level ahead of the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision. Most analysts expect the key rate to remain unchanged at 2.75%. However, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding inflation trends and external trade risks — including tense relations with the US — could influence the regulator’s stance. Investors are closely watching the Bank of Canada’s accompanying statement for further clues on the future path of monetary policy.

Key events that may affect USD/CAD pricing include:

• Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): Labour Productivity in Canada
• Today at 16:45 (GMT+3): US Services PMI
• Today at 16:45 (GMT+3): Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision
• Today at 17:00 (GMT+3): US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

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