Market Analysis: Commodity Currencies in Search of a Bottom, the Euro Resumes Its Decline


Problems in the Chinese economy and the unexpected decision of the People's Bank of China to cut the base interest rate put pressure on commodity currencies, as China is one of the main trading partners of Australia, Canada, and New Zealand. However, this week, we can observe a slowdown in the downward movement in USD/CAD, AUD/USD, and NZD/USD, which signals a possible start of corrective rollbacks.


The AUD/USD currency pair found support just above 0.6300 last week and is currently trying to strengthen above 0.6400. There are no confirmed reversal combinations for bullish movements on higher time frames yet; the nearest area for an upward rollback is the range of 0.6500-0.6600. If bulls fail to strengthen above these marks, the resumption of the downward movement in the direction of 0.6300-0.6200 may occur.

As for fundamental analysis, today at 15:00 GMT+3, we are waiting for data on the number of building permits issued in the US in July; at 16:45 GMT+3, there will be data on the business activity index (PMI) in the service sector for August.


The resistance at 1.3600 turned out to be unbearable for greenback buyers. The price is consolidating for the fifth day near the range of 1.3500-1.3570. If the upper limit is not broken in the coming trading sessions, there might be a larger downward correction in the direction of 1.3400-1.3300.

Today at 15:30 GMT+3, we are waiting for important data from Canada. In particular, the Retail Sales data for June. A little later, weekly data on crude oil inventories in the US will be released.


In the euro/US dollar pair, the price yesterday updated a recent low and is heading towards 1.0800. If this support is broken, the decline could extend to 1.0600-1.0500. At 17:00 GMT+3, the consumer confidence index for August will be published.

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Latest from Forex Analysis

NZD/USD Exchange Rate Falls from Nearly 5-Month High Market Analysis: GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Poised For More Losses Dollar Falls After Inflation Data: Is a Change in Medium-Term Trends on the Horizon? USD/CAD Retracts from Nearly 2-Month High Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dives While USD/JPY Continues To Rise

Latest articles

Financial Market News

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: S&P 500 Index, US Dollar, FTSE 100 Index, Gold Price

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

  • S&P 500

European Stock Indices Decline Amid Political Uncertainty

Today, the Eurostoxx 50 index (Europe 50 on FXOpen) has dropped below the early May minimum, reflecting escalating market concerns over the upcoming French elections, as reported by Reuters. Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire's acknowledgment that the current political crisis

Forex Analysis

NZD/USD Exchange Rate Falls from Nearly 5-Month High

The NZD/USD exchange rate has dropped from its highest level in nearly five months. On Wednesday, following the release of US inflation data, the NZD/USD rate exceeded 0.6220 for the first time since 15 January 2024.


CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.