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Weaker-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released yesterday triggered a downward correction in the US dollar. The USD/JPY pair lost more than 150 points in just a couple of hours, USD sellers in USD/CAD managed to push the price below 1.4400, and European currencies partially recovered earlier-formed reversal patterns for buying.
USD/JPY
On the daily timeframe, the USD/JPY pair has broken out of a three-week consolidation range of 158.40–156.20. If sellers manage to secure the price below the lower boundary of this range, further downward movement towards 154.50–154.00 is possible. A resumption of the upward trend may occur if the price returns above 156.20.
Events likely to influence USD/JPY pricing include:
- 16:30 (GMT+2): US Core Retail Sales Index
- 16:30 (GMT+2): Initial Jobless Claims in the US
- 16:30 (GMT+2): Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (US)
USD/CAD
A retest of the critical resistance level at 1.4450 proved unsuccessful for USD/CAD buyers. The rejection from this level resulted in a 120-point decline, leading the pair back to the 1.4300 zone. Technical analysis of USD/CAD suggests a sideways movement. Currently, the pair could decline to the 1.4300–1.4280 area. If the pair rebounds from this zone, price strengthening towards 1.4450–1.4400 is possible.
Events that may trigger a breakout from the USD/CAD flat range include:
- 16:15 (GMT+2): Canadian Housing Starts
- 20:30 (GMT+2): Speech by Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Gravel
- Tomorrow at 16:30 (GMT+2): Foreign Investment in Canadian Securities
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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