USD/CAD, GBP/USD, and EUR/USD Analysis: Major Currency Pairs in Consolidation Phase


Despite higher than expected NFP figures, published last week, the US dollar suffered a downward pullback. Thus, the pound/US dollar pair retested support at 1.2600 and sharply rose above 1.2700, the US dollar/loonie pair fell to 1.3290, and the euro/US dollar pair managed to briefly return to 1.1000. At the same time, it was not possible to develop a full-fledged downward movement, and since the beginning of the current five-day trading period, the main currency pairs continue to trade in narrow flat corridors.


On the daily chart of USD/CAD, the upward pullback, which we observed on December 27, was interrupted on Friday by a sharp rebound from the resistance in the form of intertwined alligator lines. The price retreated from 1.3400, but managed to remain above 1.3300, which may increase the likelihood of a resumption of upward movement. Cancellation of the upward scenario can be considered after a confident consolidation below 1.3270.

Today at 16:30 GMT+3, it is worth paying attention to the publication of data on the trade balance and permits for the construction of new houses in Canada for December. Tomorrow at 18:30 GMT+3, data on crude oil reserves in the United States will be released.


On the GBP/USD chart, sellers of the British currency tried unsuccessfully last week to break the support at 1.2600. The price bounced up over and over again, and after the publication of a report on the labour market in the United States, it even managed to strengthen by more than 150 pips. After the rollback, the price managed to remain above 1.2700, but no confident upward dynamics have been observed yet.

Today at 13:00 GMT+3, there will be an auction of twenty-year UK Treasury bonds. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is scheduled to speak tomorrow at 17:15 GMT+3.

According to the chaos technical strategy, the price is above the alligator lines on the daily timeframe; if the price breaks the upper fractal, it may rise further. The condition for cancelling the upward scenario may be a move below 1.2600.


On Friday, the single European currency interrupted its almost continuous weekly decline and rebounded to important resistance at 1.1000. So far, the pair’s buyers have not managed to gain a foothold above the mentioned level. According to the EUR/USD technical analysis, as long as the price remains above 1.0900, the probability of a retest of 1.1000 may be high.

Important for the pair’s pricing will be data on the unemployment rate in the eurozone for December; publication of the indicator is scheduled for 13:00 GMT+3. It is also worth paying attention to the volume of imports and exports to the United States, which will be published at 16:30 GMT+3.

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