BTC/USD Analysis: Are the Bulls Stirring?

FXOpen

According to media reports, Bitcoin’s fall from its all-time high in October 2025 to February’s low near $60k triggered the largest outflow from spot Bitcoin ETF funds since their launch in January 2024.

Glassnode data show that more than 100,000 BTC were withdrawn from these funds in January alone, though the total remains substantial, with roughly 1.25 million coins still held on balance sheets.

Analysing trading volumes on Coinbase, however, reveals a trend of declining activity (as indicated by the arrow). From a long-term perspective, this may suggest the ETF outflow trend is easing, potentially allowing the market to resume its multi-year uptrend. How plausible is this scenario?

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD

Bitcoin’s price fluctuations are currently compressing between the thick lines on the chart – a sign of market stabilisation, where supply and demand appear balanced.

Notable bullish patterns include:

  • A double bottom (A1–B1) on 11–12 February, aligning with the lower boundary of the long-term descending channel.
  • A second double bottom (A2–B2) on 18–19 February, featuring a slightly lower secondary low.

In the short term, traders might anticipate a rebound towards the upper boundary of the triangle. While the descending channel remains relevant, a decisive bullish break of this consolidation pattern would signal improving sentiment in the crypto market following February’s panic selling.

FXOpen offers the world's most popular cryptocurrency CFDs*, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. Floating spreads, 1:2 leverage — at your service (additional fees may apply). Open your trading account now or learn more about crypto CFD trading with FXOpen.

*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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