Hang Seng Index Analysis: Minimum of the Year, But Not Everything Is So Bad


Today, the price of the Hang Seng index fell below the level of 18,000 for the first time since November 2022. The media is publishing materials about the slowdown in the Chinese economy (which is confirmed by statistics) and the lack of expected government stimulus.

The FT writes that foreign investors have canceled purchases of Chinese shares worth USD 7.4 billion, which were made following a July 24 pledge by the Chinese Communist Party Politburo to increase support for the economy. And according to data released by the Chinese currency regulator on Wednesday, the volume of bonds of foreign institutional investors fell by USD 5 billion in July.

However, not everything is so bad.

Bullish arguments:
→ The price of the Hang Seng index rose rapidly after breaking through the psychological level at 18,000.
→ Also, at the close of today's candlestick, a false bearish breakdown of the previous low of the year, recorded on the last day of May, may form. Pay attention to the false bullish breakdown at the end of January — perhaps a mirror image situation is happening.
→ The price is near the lower line of the ascending channel, shown in blue (which is not quite obvious yet).
→ The price is near the lower line of the descending channel shown in red.
→ The price is near the level of 50% of the increase in A→B.

If the price of the Hang Seng index rises from a block of listed supports, this will be another example of how market lows are accompanied by negative media.

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