Market Analysis: Rising Bond Yields Are Driving Down Price of Gold

FXOpen

The yield on 10-year bonds exceeded 4.5% per annum – a 16-year high. The demand for them was promoted by:
→ tough statements from the Fed last week that the high base interest rate will remain as long as necessary. Moreover, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said he expects another increase;
→ concerns related to the likelihood of a US government shutdown on October 1. At the same time, Moody's issued a stern warning, jeopardizing the country's triple-A rating.

It can be assumed that investors choose bonds when forming a portfolio of protective assets. This puts pressure on the gold, which “loses its shine” in their eyes.

Thus, the XAU/USD daily chart shows that the price of gold continues the downward trend that has been going on since spring. Wherein:
→ the price of gold actively interacts with the level of 1,947. In July, this level acted as support, but in August this status changed. And the candle of September 20 confirms the dominance of the bears — the price failed to stay at the achieved heights. It was more like an intraday emotional movement that did not reflect the intrinsic value of gold;
→ so far, the price is near the median line of the channel, where supply and demand tend to balance, so this reduces the likelihood of sharp spikes in volatility;
→ But the psychological level of USD 1,900 per ounce is getting closer. But if in July the price rebounded sharply from it, then in August it made a delay, falling below 1,900. If the pressure on gold continues, then the bears may attempt a new attack on the psychological level and it is possible that the price may drop to the lower limit by the end of the year downward channel.

Start trading commodity CFDs with tight spreads (additional fees may apply). Open your trading account now or learn more about trading commodity CFDs with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Commodity CFD Trading with FXOpen

Commodity CFD Trading with FXOpen

  • Trade with tight spreads and low commissions
  • Choose from 4 trading platforms: MT4, MT5, TradingView, or TickTrader
  • Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution
Learn more

Latest articles

Forex Analysis

Market De-Risking Ahead of the US Employment Report: Euro and Pound Under Pressure

European currencies have retreated from local highs amid a decline in risk appetite and ahead of the release of key US labour market data. Market participants are opting to reduce exposure before the publication of the employment report, which could

Forex Analysis

AUD/USD Is Under Bearish Pressure

As indicated by the AUD/USD chart, the Australian dollar has fallen below the 0.6680 level today, with the decline from Wednesday’s high (A) exceeding 1.1%.

Key bearish drivers include:

Declining inflation expectations. Data released on Wednesday

SMT Divergence in Trading: Concepts and Strategies
Trader’s Tools

SMT Divergence in Trading: Concepts and Strategies

SMT divergence

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.