Nvidia shares experienced heightened volatility yesterday, with the price jumping to a March high during the Nvidia GTC 2026 conference, where Jensen Huang made several major announcements. According to media reports:

→ Nvidia unveiled a next-generation platform named after the astronomer Vera Rubin. The new chips are designed for “agentic AI” (AI agents).

→ The company expects total orders for current-generation AI systems (Blackwell) and next-generation systems (Vera Rubin) to reach $1 trillion by 2027. This is double the company’s previous $500 billion forecast announced earlier.

→ Huang also noted that market demand is shifting. While chips were previously purchased mainly for training AI models, demand is now increasingly driven by companies such as OpenAI, Meta and Anthropic, which must serve hundreds of millions of users in real time.

As the NVDA chart shows, the share price rose above the $188.50 level, but later pulled back, which may suggest excessive optimism among buyers and aggressive selling pressure.

Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA)

On the morning of 26 February, while analysing NVDA price movements following the quarterly earnings release, we:

→ updated the long-term ascending channel (which remains intact);
→ pointed to the negative experience of other tech giants earlier in 2026, whose shares rallied briefly after earnings before turning lower (for example, Meta);
→ suggested that if bulls wanted to confirm control of NVDA, it would be important to keep the price above the $192.50 level.

During the main trading session that same day, the $192.50 level was broken by bears on a wide candle accompanied by rising volumes, confirming these concerns. Moreover, the downward momentum continued the following day, eventually leading to the A→B swing.

Overall, bulls still have reasons to remain calm, as:

→ the fundamental backdrop remains optimistic;
→ the lower boundary of the ascending channel continues to act as strong support.

However, the NVDA price chart also presents some warning signs:

→ peak A may represent a bull trap;
→ yesterday’s candle with a long upper shadow could also signal a similar trap.

If this proves to be the case, a test of the lower boundary of the channel would be a logical next step. Such a scenario could significantly alter sentiment in the NVDA stock market.

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