News & Analysis / Analysis / US Dollar Strengthened Ahead of the Federal Reserve’s May Meeting

US Dollar Strengthened Ahead of the Federal Reserve’s May Meeting

FXOpen

The main event of the Easter week was the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting that ended last Thursday. The central bank left the monetary policy unchanged and even though it sounded more hawkish than expected, the euro lost ground against the US dollar.

The ECB announced that it would end its asset purchases in the third quarter of this year but acknowledged that the ECB and the Fed are on different paths in their policy normalization plans.

While the ECB may deliver one or two rate hikes this year, the Fed already hiked once. Moreover, many voices inside the FOMC Committee favor a 50bp rate hike in May, thus widening the gap between the interest rates on the two sides of the Atlantic.

Since COVID-19 started two years ago, many have been shocked by the Fed’s and other central banks’ responses to the pandemic. Monetary and fiscal policies expansion have led to excessive inflation, hurting savings and driving investors into inflation-protecting assets.

Some bought cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum in the hope that they will keep their value intact. Some other ones bought gold, the traditional hedge against inflation.

But the one currency that did appreciate was the US dollar. With all the doom and gloom over the years, the US dollar remains the de-facto world’s reserve currency.

The greenback has no rival, as almost 60% of the world’s reserves are in dollars. The euro comes in a distant second place, while the Japanese yen is in third place.

This is an important statistic ahead of the Fed’s May meeting. The three central banks (the Fed, the ECB, and the Bank of Japan) have different and divergent monetary policies.

As mentioned earlier, the Fed started to tighten the monetary policy. Excessive inflation will push the  Fed to hike at every meeting in 2022 and, most likely, more than 25bp.

Moreover, the Fed has begun the process of shrinking its balance sheet. Quantitative tightening is the opposite of quantitative easing, thus contributing to even tighter financial conditions.

The ECB, as argued above, is nowhere near the Fed in terms of policy normalization. While inflation in Europe is above the ECB’s target, the war in Ukraine prevents the central bank from raising rates too fast.

As for the Bank of Japan is involved in a yield curve control process that led to one of the fastest depreciation on record for the Japanese yen.

Therefore, the central banks of the three top currencies in which reserves are kept have divergent policies. They all favor a stronger dollar ahead of the Fed’s May meeting and beyond.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Instrument
Live ECN bid
Live ECN ask
Action
EURUSD
1.09654
1.09665
Trade
GBPUSD
1.28892
1.28919
Trade
AUDUSD
0.60440
0.60452
Trade
USDJPY
146.854
146.884
Trade
USDCAD
1.42236
1.42291
Trade
More
Forex Trading with FXOpen

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Access over 50 markets
  • Trade with spreads from 0.0 pips
  • Take advantage of commissions from $1.50/lot
Learn more

Latest articles

Cryptocurrencies

BTC/USD Analysis: Bitcoin Price at a Critical Support Level

In our 28 January report, "Bitcoin Price Holds Above $100k. For Now?", we highlighted the heightened volatility surrounding Trump’s inauguration. We speculated that major market players might have capitalized on this surge to lock in profits from long positions,

Analytical NVIDIA Stock Forecasts for the Rest of 2024, 2025 – 2030, and Beyond
Trader’s Tools

Analytical NVIDIA Stock Price Predictions for 2025-2030 and Beyond

NVIDIA has become a dominant force in technology, driving innovation in AI, data centres, and next-generation computing. Its stock has seen substantial growth, becoming a key player for investors to watch closely.

This article breaks down NVIDIA’s stock forecasts

Analytical Tesla Stock Predictions for 2024, 2025 – 2030 and Beyond
Trader’s Tools

Analytical Tesla Stock Predictions for 2025 – 2030 and Beyond

Tesla has been at the forefront of the electric vehicle revolution, capturing the imagination of investors and the general public alike since the launch of the Roadster in 2008. From the debut of the Model S to the unveiling of

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.