From Monday’s spike at $62 the price of Litecoin has retraced by 11.8% as its currently trading at $54.73.
Looking at the hourly chart we can see that the price action is now back on the descending channels resistance line, which now serves as a support. As you can see, the price action formed an ascending channel that breaks out from the descending one. But it results in a painful and slow upward move followed by a massive red candle bringing the price back inside the territory of the descending channel. It happened on Monday and happened two more times previously. I believe that this will happen this time as well and the price is heading down to the lower support zone line at $49.2 or even lower to the support zone lower line 2 at $44.62.
Zooming out on to the 4-hour chart you can clearly see where these significant horizontal levels originate from, and that zone was the main plateau from which the all-time high was made. It would be very significant to break it as it serves as a strong support and was well respected in the past. The price hasn’t gone below it since August last year.
Elliott Wave Projection
Looking at the daily chart below you can see the Elliott Wave labelings. As you can see after a WXY move, which pushed the price to the first lower level of the support zone, an ABCDE correction has developed. This is this current cluster around the support zone.
As the E wave ends on the resistance line, more downside is expected at least to the S2 of the support zone or potentially a breakout from it and even a lower target below $44.
From the levels of Monday’s spike at $6 the price of Eos has fallen by 8.86% and is currently trading at $5.55.
Looking at the hourly chart we can see a similar chart pattern to that of Litecoin – a bearish pennant. The price action is currently below its resistance line while the spike on Monday was above it. Sellers have pushed the price back inside the territory of the triangle and the price is hovering around the midpoints of the spike from the horizontal level at $5.15 to the high at $6.08.
Zooming out onto the 4-hour chart we can see that the price has broken out off of the downtrend resistance line prior to the formation of the bearish pennant.
Judging by the momentum behind the selloff the price is heading further lower after this last consolidative triangle. The price might break out from the upside and go to retest the uptrends baseline support, which now serves as resistance but will continue to a lower low afterward in either case.
Elliott Wave Projection
One could argue that the consolidative triangle we are currently seeing will end as a baseline for another increase in price like it did last time in March. But according to my Elliott Wave count, this isn’t the case. Last time we’ve seen a triangle the correction inside it ended on its support and was impulsive.
As you can see from the graph on the left, the correction was a WXYXZ followed by an impulsive move after the Z wave from a higher degree ended previously.
Looking at the daily chart below you can see the Elliott Wave labelings and the price context for the mentioned correction.
The current triangle, which can be interpreted as a bearish pennant, is not corrective after an impulsive move. It is consolidative after the price decreased by 76% from the all-time high. When the price ends consolidating, which is going to happen very soon, a trend continuation will occur pushing the price lower at least around to $4.5. But my target is on the next horizontal support level at $3.27.
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