Yesterday, fresh values of the CPI index were published, which testified to a moderate slowdown in inflation in the US. The actual value was 3.2% in annual terms (expected 3.3%, a month earlier = 3.0%, a year earlier = 9.1%).
In reaction to the news, the price of gold fell from a daily high around USD 1,930 an ounce to renew the August low. Such behavior can be interpreted as a decrease in the value of the precious metal, as it loses its relevance as a protective asset against inflation.
Earlier we wrote that August began for the gold market in a bearish way. The trend continues.
Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe shows that:
→ the price develops dynamics within the descending channel, which has been operating since May of this year;
→ yesterday there was a test of resistance at the level of USD 1,930, which served as support in early August. This is a bearish sign;
→ the price of gold is approaching an important support at the psychological level of USD 1,900 per ounce;
→ a series of lower highs is formed on the chart;
→ the RSI indicator rose from the oversold zone, forming a bullish divergence pattern.
It is reasonable to assume that when approaching psychological support, the bears in the gold market will lose confidence, and therefore rebounds are possible. But in order for them to develop into a sustainable rally, it will probably take the impact of important news.
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