News & Analysis / Analysis / The US Dollar Is Weakening Following Inflation Data

The US Dollar Is Weakening Following Inflation Data

FXOpen

Yesterday saw the release of key economic indicators for the US. According to ForexFactory:

→ Core Price Index (CPI) monthly: actual = 0.3%, expected = 0.4%, previous = 0.4%;

→ Core Price Index (CPI) annual: actual = 3.4%, expected = 3.4%, previous = 3.5%;

→ Retail Sales monthly: actual = 0.0%, expected = 0.4%, previous = 0.6%.

Concerns about rising inflation did not materialise. Reuters reports that unchanged retail sales suggest conditions are forming for interest rate cuts.

Financial markets reacted significantly, with the US dollar weakening:

→ As we reported yesterday, signs of slowing inflation increased market participants' belief in imminent rate cuts, leading to the S&P 500 stock index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) reaching an all-time high;

→ Gold prices reached a high not seen since April 21;

→ Other currencies strengthened against the US dollar.

An interesting situation is developing on the USD/JPY chart. Applying Fibonacci ratios, we note three instances where price recovery halted around the 0.382 level:

→ Recovery from B to C following the impulsive decline from A to B;

→ Recovery from D to E after the impulsive decline from C to D;

→ Recovery from F to G after the 3-wave decline from A to F.

According to technical analysis of USD/JPY, these proportions indicate that demand is consistently fading with each attempt to restore the upward trend described by the blue channel.

Moreover, the local peak at G provides information about the median line, acting as resistance. Therefore, there are grounds to assume that bears will continue to dominate, pushing prices downward. If this scenario unfolds, lower support levels (151.85, 150.88, psychological level 150.00), as well as the lower boundary of the channel, will test the seriousness of the bears' intentions.

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Stay ahead of the market!

Subscribe now to our mailing list and receive the latest market news and insights delivered directly to your inbox.

forex

Instrument
Live ECN bid
Live ECN ask
Action
EURUSD
1.09284
1.09286
Trade
GBPUSD
1.28679
1.28680
Trade
AUDUSD
0.60179
0.60181
Trade
USDJPY
147.232
147.234
Trade
USDCAD
1.42490
1.42495
Trade
More
Forex Trading with FXOpen

Forex Trading with FXOpen

Experience ECN technology for deep liquidity and light-speed trade execution

  • Access over 50 markets
  • Trade with spreads from 0.0 pips
  • Take advantage of commissions from $1.50/lot
Learn more

Latest articles

Cryptocurrencies

BTC/USD Analysis: Bitcoin Price at a Critical Support Level

In our 28 January report, "Bitcoin Price Holds Above $100k. For Now?", we highlighted the heightened volatility surrounding Trump’s inauguration. We speculated that major market players might have capitalized on this surge to lock in profits from long positions,

Analytical NVIDIA Stock Forecasts for the Rest of 2024, 2025 – 2030, and Beyond
Trader’s Tools

Analytical NVIDIA Stock Price Predictions for 2025-2030 and Beyond

NVIDIA has become a dominant force in technology, driving innovation in AI, data centres, and next-generation computing. Its stock has seen substantial growth, becoming a key player for investors to watch closely.

This article breaks down NVIDIA’s stock forecasts

Analytical Tesla Stock Predictions for 2024, 2025 – 2030 and Beyond
Trader’s Tools

Analytical Tesla Stock Predictions for 2025 – 2030 and Beyond

Tesla has been at the forefront of the electric vehicle revolution, capturing the imagination of investors and the general public alike since the launch of the Roadster in 2008. From the debut of the Model S to the unveiling of

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 60% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.